User talk:Mnemosyne

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Random easter egg (don't know if anyone else has noticed this): In Rurikton, near where the map marker appears for Sergeant Hal, are four NPCs whose names imply that they're related to the four original Prophecies henchmen: Kenden Baruch (Warrior/Stefan), Lyren Sandor (Ranger/Reyna), Aleria Baptiste (Guardian/Alesia), and Aquila Elek (Elementalist/Orion); they have the same surnames as the original henchmen did in the GW beta. Lyren's dialogue mentions their families having known each other for years and Kenden's references being used to taking orders from other people. Neat little shout-out to the original game, if nothing else. :) --Mnemosyne 21:15, 8 June 2012 (UTC)

Endless Toy Tonic Mystic Forge Research[edit]

Base recipe: Toy frame + 50 wads of enchanted stuffing + 50 drops of magic glue + 1 pile of glittering dust = either an endless toy tonic OR a small Wintersday gift containing 3 single-use toy tonics plus the toy frame used.

32 total attempts with all 5 frames:

Attempt - Frame => Output

  • 1 - Ventari => 1 Endless Toy Ventari Tonic
  • 2 - Soldier => 3 Toy Soldier Tonics + 1 Toy Soldier Frame
  • 3 - Griffon => 3 Plush Griffon Tonics + 1 Plush Griffon Frame
  • 4 - Soldier (2) => 3 Toy Soldier Tonics + 1 Toy Soldier Frame
  • 5 - Griffon (2) => 3 Plush Griffon Tonics + 1 Plush Griffon Frame
  • 6 - Soldier (3) => 3 Toy Soldier Tonics + 1 Toy Soldier Frame
  • 7 - Griffon (3) => 3 Plush Griffon Tonics + 1 Plush Griffon Frame
  • 8 - Soldier (4) => 3 Toy Soldier Tonics + 1 Toy Soldier Frame
  • 9 - Griffon (4) => 1 Endless Plush Griffon Tonic
  • 10 - Soldier (5) => 1 Endless Toy Soldier Tonic
  • 11 - Princess => 3 Princess Doll Tonics + 1 Princess Doll Frame
  • 12 - Golem => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 13 - Princess (2) => 3 Princess Doll Tonics + 1 Princess Doll Frame
  • 14 - Golem (2) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 15 - Princess (3) => 3 Princess Doll Tonics + 1 Princess Doll Frame
  • 16 - Golem (3) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 17 - Princess (4) => 3 Princess Doll Tonics + 1 Princess Doll Frame
  • 18 - Golem (4) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 19 - Princess (5) => 3 Princess Doll Tonics + 1 Princess Doll Frame
  • 20 - Golem (5) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 21 - Princess (6) => 1 Endless Princess Doll Tonic
  • 22 - Golem (6) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 23 - Golem (7) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 24 - Golem (8) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 25 - Golem (9) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 26 - Golem (10) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 27 - Golem (11) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 28 - Golem (12) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 29 - Golem (13) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 30 - Golem (14) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 31 - Golem (15) => 3 Toy Golem Tonics + 1 Toy Golem Frame
  • 32 - Golem (16) => 1 Endless Toy Golem Tonic*

Total input:

Total output:

According to my (admittedly small) pool of data:

  • Including likely outliers (Ventari and Golem), the probability of getting an endless tonic using this recipe is 0.15625, or 15.6% of the time.
  • Excluding likely outliers, the probability of getting an endless tonic using this recipe is 0.2, or 20% of the time.

(*) I have a feeling that my long run of just regular golem tonics was simply horrible luck... or my earlier attempts were astounding luck, particularly the first one.

(**) I don't count the frames dropped from the small Wintersday gifts, since they were effectively the 'original' frame being returned to me.

Mnemosyne 09:12, 27 December 2012 (UTC)

new norn hairstyles[edit]

Could you retake those with no beard please? —Dr Ishmael User Dr ishmael Diablo the chicken.png 12:48, 2 October 2013 (UTC)